Farmer Says ‘We’re in a Very Dire Situation’ Ahead of Harvest—Zero Soybean Orders From Largest Buyer, China
Kentucky farmer Caleb Ragland has issued a warning about a crisis facing American agriculture.
In a recent TikTok video, Ragland said, “Right now, we’re in a very dire situation,” pointing to the fact that China, historically the largest buyer of U.S. soybeans, has placed zero orders ahead of harvest season. This highlights a growing fear among farmers that trade tensions and shifting global markets could devastate one of America’s most important crops.
Warning From the Fields
In a TikTok video, Ragland, a board member of the American Soybean Association, shared his concerns about the situation that has garnered significant attention regarding farmers’ struggles. He later stated to CNN, “China imports more of our soybeans than all other foreign customers combined.” With no orders currently in progress, he warned that the livelihoods of farmers are at risk.t the livelihoods of farmers are at risk.
Why China’s Role Matters
Historically, China has accounted for more than 25% of total U.S. soybean purchases, with about one-third of annual sales typically secured before harvest (SoyGrowers). This year, those early commitments are absent, leaving roughly 8–9% of the U.S. crop unsold and farmers anxious about mounting storage costs.
Brazil Fills the Gap
China isn’t reducing soybean imports—it’s simply buying elsewhere. In July, Chinese soybean imports hit a record high, fueled by strong shipments from Brazil. Brazil’s lower prices and closer trade ties have given it an edge over U.S. producers.
Trade Tensions at the Core
The shift is tied to ongoing U.S.–China trade frictions. Tariffs and restrictions have made American soybeans more expensive and less attractive to Chinese buyers. Farmers argue that the political standoff is undercutting their competitiveness in global markets.
Farmers Call for Urgent Action
The American Soybean Association (ASA) has urged President Trump to prioritize negotiations with China. In an August letter, ASA warned that “without immediate action, farmers face devastating economic losses.”
White House Response So Far
President Trump recently extended tariff deadlines in an effort to ease trade pressure (CNBC). While this may buy time, farmers remain doubtful that it will reopen Chinese demand in time to salvage this year’s crop.
Beyond Soybeans: Ripple Effects on Rural America
Soybeans are a cornerstone of U.S. agriculture. With half of the crop destined for export, the lack of Chinese orders could ripple into grain elevators, trucking firms, and rural economies that depend on farming revenue.
Farmers Feel the Pinch Already
Many farmers have already seen shrinking margins due to lower global soybean prices and rising input costs. With no Chinese demand to offset these pressures, some fear they won’t break even this season.
An Uncertain Future
For Ragland and other growers, the situation underscores a broader uncertainty in U.S. agriculture. Unless trade relations improve or new buyers emerge, the U.S. risks losing long-term ground to Brazil and other competitors in the global soybean market.
